The set-up: The Braves took Game 1 of this one 11-4 yesterday, but I think the home side will bounce back with its ace on the mound this afternoon. Atlanta turns to Anibal Sanchez, while the Jays go with JA Happ.

The pitchers: Sanchez is so far 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA. Over six starts for Atlanta Sanchez has posted a sharp 32/11 K/W over 37.1 innings. Sanchez was a disaster for the Tigers last season, so it's hard to trust that he'll maintain these "lights out" numbers.

Happ is so far 8-3 with a 3.48 ERA who went five scoreless against the Rays on Wednesday, giving up one run and three walks over five scoreless on Wednesday. Happ would also strikeout four and he comes into this one sporting an impressive 10.2 K/9 over his 14 starts this season.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Atlanta is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring ten or more runs, while Toronto is 8-3 in its last 11 after allowing ten or more runs. I think Sanchez comes back down to Earth and I look for Happ to continue his consistent progression. Lay the price.