The set-up: Brock Osweiler left the Broncos to sign a free-agent deal with the Texans this past offseason, parlaying a 5-2 record as a starter into a $37 million guaranteed deal. The two teams hook up on MNF in Denver, with both coming owning identical 4-2 records. Denver opened 4-0 but the Broncos have lost their last two and need to get back on the winning track here at home. The Texans are 4-0 at home in 2016 but have lost both road games, getting outscored by a combined 58-13.

Houston: Osweiler's numbers have been underwhelming so far this season and Houston fans were none to happy as last Sunday night's game passed the midway point of the 4th quarter with the Texans trailing the Colts, 23-9. However, Osweiler shook off a tough start to throw two TD passes in less than two minutes in the fourth quarter (1:48 to be exact) as Houston tied it at 23-all with 54 seconds left. He found Lamar Miller on a 10-yard catch-and-run TD with 2:47 remaining and after a stop by the defense, connected with C.J. Fiedorowicz on a 26-yarder that tied it. Houston would win 26-23 in OT. RB Lamar Miller, also a marquee free-agent signing in the offseason, is coming off his best game by rushing for 149 yards and scoring his first two TDs, one on the ground and one receiving. He's got 520 yards rushing on 4.2 YPC. Star WR DeAndre Hopkins had a season-high nine receptions against the Colts. The offense is struggling (Osweiler is completing just 59% with with an 8-8 ratio and 74.1 QB rating) but the defense is hanging tough even with the los of J.J. Watt, ranking 8th in total yards allowed (315.7 YPG).

Denver: Of course, Denver's D led it to last year's Super Bowl win and it ranks 5th in total yards (295.0 YPG) and 8th in scoring (18.0 PPG). Siemian led Denver to a 4-0 start, although he was injured early on in the team's Week 4 win at Tampa Bay. He missed the Atlanta home loss but returned in the team's 21-13 loss at San Diego in Week 6, attempting 50 passes. In contrast, he threw a more reasonable 94 times while completing 67.0% with 5 TDs and 3 INTs in his first full games. Denver would like a return to that here (about 30 attempts) and also needs more from its running game, which is averaging only 98.5 YPG on 3.8 YPC.

The pick: Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak will be back on the sideline after missing one game due to illness and that should be a big boost plus expect the Denver D to brings its "A-game" against former teammate Osweiler (who skipped town). Houston has been in over its head on the road against elite teams like the Pats and Vikings, scoring only 13 points, combined. Denver's defense is surely "elite" plus in back-to-back games, the Denver offense has totaled a modest 29 points! This one has "under written all over it" and I'll make the Under a 10* play.