Tennessee: The Titans entered the 2016 season off 2-14 and 3-13 seasons. Tennessee has opened 1-3, winning only 16-15 at Detroit against the Lions. Head coach Mike Mularkey is clearly feeling the heat, as he fired special teams coach Bobby April just four games into the season, a long-time assistant who has twice been named Special Teams Coach of the Year. April was canned after the Titans had 12 men on the field on a Houston second-quarter punt that turned into a Texans FG last week. In the third quarter, Houston burned Tennessee for a 67-yard punt return for a TD. Those two plays cost Tennessee 10 points in a 27-20 loss within the AFC South Division that the Texans lead with a 3-1 record (a Tennessee win and both would be tied at 2-2). QB Marcus Mariota has connected on just 57-of-107 throws to his WRs and TEs for just 53.3 percent, the third-worst in the NFL. The Titans' running game ranks fourth in the NFL averaging 127.0 YPG on 4.7 YPC.

Miami: The 1-3 Dolphins have struggled offensively (328.8 YPG ranks 26th), while rushing for 77.8 YPC (ranks 28th). First-year head coach Adam Gase obviously wants to rely on QB Ryan Tannehill to provide the team's offensive ‘punch' but he has been average at best, gets sacked too often (11) and has five INTs (he owns a mediocre 87.3 QB rating). Miami's defense has allowed 401.8 PPG (28th) but has allowed a middle-of-pack 22.2 PPG (16th).

The pick: The Titans are 1-3 but their three losses have come to teams with a combined 9-2 record and their last two defeats have gone down to the last possession. The Tennessee defense allows a modest 21.0 PPG (14th) and when last in action (a Week 4 Thursday game at Cincinnati), Miami's offense had just 222 total yards (74 yards one TD pass), while gaining a pathetic eight FDs. In fact, Miami enters this contest having failed to score more than 24 points in 14 straight games. Meanwhile, the Titans are averaging only 15.5 PPG, which ranks dead-last (32nd) in the NFL. The Under is a 10* play.