Rogers' 10* Red Sox/Indians Gm 1 WINNER >> SIZZLING 39-19 L58 MLB Sides!
(MLB) Boston vs. Cleveland,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -128.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Indians played at Progressive Field on Opening Day (April 5) and six months later, with both teams having won their respective divisions, they will meet in Game 1 in the ALDS. The 94-67 Indians won the AL Central Division by eight games over second-place Detroit, while the 93-69 Red Sox won the AL East by four games over second-place finishers Baltimore and Toronto. The teams meet Thursday night in Cleveland and current Indians manager Terry Francona is the former Boston manager who won two World Series with the Red Sox. Boston won four of the six regular-season games played between the two teams but the Indians winning the home field advantage for this series is not a small deal. Cleveland was 53-28 at home this year, tying Texas for the best home record in the AL and the team's plus-$1230 home moneyline mark was the third-best in all of MLB.

The pitching matchup: Rick Porcello (22-4, 3.15) will start Game 1 for the Red Sox, while Cleveland gives the ball to Trevor Bauer (12-8, 4.26 ERA). Porcello is the AL Cy Young favorite, as Boston went 25-8 in all of his starts, earning a profit of $1470 (third-best among all starters). Porcello spent the first six years of his career pitching for the Tigers, who play the division-rival Indians numerous times each season. He is 10-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 22 career starts against the Indians (teams are 14-8). Bauer is a surprising Game 1 starter. considering he was 6-4 at Progressive Field (Indians were 11-8 in his starts), and his ERA is over a run higher at home (4.73) than on the road (3.67). In two appearances, one start, versus Boston this year, Bauer was 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. In three career games, two starts, against the Red Sox he is 0-2 with a 12.91 ERA.

The pick: Porcello has had an amazing season but while the Red Sox went 15-1 in his Fenway starts, they were just 10-7 in his road starts. Bauer is no star but as noted earlier, Cleveland was 53-28 at home this year (averaging 5.58 RPG), with an impressive plus-$1230 home moneyline mark. Taking 1 1/2 runs with Cleveland makes them a 10* play.