Georgia Southern: Tyson Summers is in his first season as Georgia Southern's head coach and he has this program off to a 3-1 start, after losing its most recent game 49-31 at Western Michigan back on September 24 (team was off last week). The Eagles are already 2-0 in league play, defeating South Alabama 24-9 and ULM 23-21. The Eagles led the nation in rushing from 2014-15 under previous coach Willie Fritz and it comes as no surprise that Summers isn't deviating too far from that plan. Ga. Southern ranks fourth at 317.8 YPG on the ground (on 5.0 YPC). RB Matt Breida finished second in the Sun Belt with 1,608 yards in 2015 (7.9 YPC!) but he's just third on the team this year after four games with just 237 yards. It should also be noted that Summers and the new staff are tweaking the offense a bit to work on the passing game. QB Favian Upshaw leads the Eagles with 254 rushing yards but he's also completed 21 of 39 passes for 409 yards with four TDs and two INTs. Kevin Ellison also sees time under center, completing 12 of 18 with a one TD and no INTs plus with 227 rushing yards, gives the Eagles four players with more than 225 rushing yards this season.

Arkansas State: Georgia Southern and Arkansas St, (both 9-4 in 2015) entered 2016 expected to be two of the top teams in the Sun Belt but while the Eagles are 3-1 (2-0 in SBC play), the Red Wolves are 0-4. The lone bit of good news is, ASU has yet to play a conference game. Arkansas State has been one of the Sun Belt's top programs in recent years but overcoming an 0-4 start will be a big hill to climb. The team will play the next three games at home, then finish with four out of their last five games on the road. The Red Wolves finished second in the conference in scoring in 2014 (36.7 PPG) and led the league with an average of 40.0 PPG in 2015. However, the team is averaging only 16.8 PPG during its 0-4 start to rank 124th out of 128 FBS schools. The defense ranks 120th in yards allowed (494.5 per) and 107th in points allowed (36.0 per).

The pick: This is the first meeting between Arkansas State and Georgia Southern on the FBS level and as Sun Belt foes. Strength of schedule has played a role in ASU poor numbers so far, as three of their losses have come against Toledo, Auburn and Utah State. The additional time to prepare and being at home should make for a positive atmosphere. After all, the Red Wolves opened the 2016 season 26-4 SU at Centennial Bank Stadium from 2011 through 2015. This home dog has a lot of bite. Arkansas State is a 10* play.