Rogers' 10* NCAAF Late Show >> 6-1 Last Week in NCAAF!
(NCAAF) Nevada vs. Hawaii,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Hawaii (Home)
Result: Win
Nevada: The Wolf Pack needed overtime to beat Cal Poly 30-27 in their 2016 opener. They then fell 39-10 to Notre Dame in South Bend, before winning 38-14 win at home over Buffalo. However, a trip to West Lafayette resulted in a 24-14 loss to Purdue, leaving Nevada 2-2 as it travels to Hawaii for a late-night Saturday game. Head coach Brian Polian is in his fourth season in Reno and has taken the school to a bowl game in each of his first three years. QB Tyler Stewart has completed 64.0% for a modest 640 yards with five TD passes and just one INT. The team's rushing attack averages 173.3 YPG on 4.3 YPC.

Hawaii: Nick Rolovich is 1-3 in his first season as head coach at Hawaii and he's touted as an offensive wizard. The Hawaii offense has yet to did much but defensively, it's been a ‘nightmare.' The unit ranks 126th (of 128 schools) in both scoring D (49.2 PPG) and total yards (535.5 YPG). Quarterback Ikaika Woolsey played the best game he's had this season when he completed 9-of-18 passes for 205 yards with four touchdowns in the team's lone win and Hawaii does own a decent running game (168.0 YPG on 4.5 YPC).

The pick: Nevada and head coach Polian own more experience but this marks Nevada's third long trip in its last four games (at Notre Dame, at Buffalo and now at Nevada). The Nevada offense has scored just 10 points at Notre Dame and 14 at Purdue and will be looking for the team's first road win of 2016 at Hawaii. Clearly, Hawaii's defense will give the Wolf Pack more scoring opportunities but Nevada as a road favorite is a stretch. Yes, Hawaii is 1-3 but those losses have come against Cal (in Australia) and then at Michigan and Arizona. In the team's lone home game to-date, the Rainbow Warriors scored 41 points and QB Woolsey had four TD passes. Granted Nevada is a much tougher opponent than UT-Martin but beware the upset by the home ‘dog. Hawaii is a 10* play.