The set-up: The 70-87 Philadelphia Phillies and the 64-92 Atlanta Braves play the middle contest of a three-game series at Turner Field on Tuesday. The Braves won 7-6 on Tuesday, after the Phillies had jumped out to a 6-0 lead. Both teams own terrible records but both have been very competitive against the moneyline, as the 17 games under.500 Phillies are plus-$99 on the season and the Braves, who are 28 games under .500, are only minus-$13.

The pitching matchup: Adam Morgan (2-10, 5.57 ERA) starts for Philadelphia and Mike Foltynewicz (8-5, 4.41 ERA) for the Braves. This marks Morgan's final start of the season (21st). He hasn't won since September 6 and has received no decisions in each of his last two starts, allowing four ERs over 9 1/3 innings (3.86 ERA). He is 1-4 with a 3.19 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta, including 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA against the Braves in two starts this season. Foltynewicz will also make his final start of the season (22nd). He has made one start against the Phillies this season, taking a loss when he allowed five runs in 5 2/3 innings

The pick: Morgan has pitched better down the stretch in his second season, posting a 2.89 ERA in his last five starts but the Phillies are still just 2-3 in those games. The Phillies are 5-15 (minus-$929) in all of Morgan's 2016 starts. Foltynewicz has established himself as the team's No. 2 starter with a solid year and is 4-0 in his last eight starts (Braves are 5-3), giving up three runs or fewer five times in that span while striking out six or more in five of his last six outings. What's more, the Braves come in 16-9 over their last 25 games. Atlanta is a 10* play.