The set-up: Boston's 11-game winning streak has allowed the Red Sox to catch Texas for the AL's best record. Both teams open the regular season's final week of the season at 92-64. The Red Sox are off Monday, with Texas opening a three-game home IL series with the Brewers, before taking Thursday off. Texas owns the best home winning percentage in the AL (50-25) and it is 11-6 in interleague play. The 70-86 Brewers finished their home schedule with a 4-2 loss to Cincinnati on Sunday and now finish the season on the road. Overall, Milwaukee's 29-46 road record is among the worst in MLB but the Brewers have won 10 of their last 15 on the road.

The pitching matchup: Matt Garza (5-8, 4.52 ERA) starts for Milwaukee and Martin Perez (10-10, 4.14 ERA) will get the nod for Texas. Garza spent the second half of the 2013 season with Texas (4-5 with a 4.38 ERA in 13 starts) before signing a four-year, $50 million contract with Milwaukee. He has not pitched in Texas since he finished the 2013 season with the Rangers but is 5-3 with a 3.73 in 10 career starts against the Rangers (teams are 7-3). He owns a 4.54 ERA in 12 career starts at Globe Life Park in Arlington, pitching for or against Texas. Perez has never faced the Brewers but comes in 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA in his last four starts (Rangers are a perfect 4-0).

The pick: Texas would love to nail down home field advantage and a team that is 50-25 at home should not stumble here against a team like the Brewers. As noted, the Rangers have won Perez's last four overall starts and he takes an 8-2 home record with a 2.65 ERA in 16 home starts during the 2016 season into tonight's contest (Texas is 12-4). Texas is an 8* play.