Rogers' Early Saturday SHOOTOUT (This One Flies Over!)
(NCAAF) Florida State vs. USF,
Total: 61.00 | -102.00 Under
Result: Win
Florida State: The Seminoles visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the USF Bulls, fresh off an embarrassing 63-20 loss this past Saturday at Louisville. FSU was totally outplayed by the Cardinals last weekend, getting outgained 530-to-284 in yards. Louisville QB Jackson passed for 216 yards with a TD pass plus ran for 146 yards, adding four TDs on the ground. In all, Louisville ran for 314 yards on 6.8 YPC with seven rushing TDs. Meanwhile, FSU's freshman QB Deondre Francois looked inept, completing 7 of 18 for 101 yards with a TD and an INT. Dalvin Cook, among a group of preseason Heisman favorites, had just 54 yards rushing and after three games, no longer has any Heisman hopes with 228 rushing yards and two TDs.

South Florida: The USF Bulls are off to a 3-0 start for the first time since 2011, after rallying to win 45-20 at Syracuse last week. USF fell behind 17-0 after the first quarter last Saturday but then ran off 28 unanswered points in the second quarter. The Bulls are averaging 49.7 PPG (7th-best in the nation) after three games on 518.7 YPG (19th). Five players have run for 99 yards or more, including QB Quinton Flowers (150), who has also thrown for 716 yards with seven TDs and just one INT. Defensively, the Bulls have allowed just 19.0 PPG (38th) on 386.3 YPG (70th) but the team is well aware that it will face an FSU team which will be angry and focused after being embarrassed by Louisville.

The pick: USF head coach Willie Taggart told reporters when referring to this game with FSU, "I think it will be big, just from a respect (standpoint) and getting national attention. We don't want anyone to give it to us, we want to earn it, and it's a hell of an opportunity for us to go out and do that this weekend." The Bulls went just 6-18 in Taggert's first two seasons at Tampa but last year's team was 8-5, after losing 45-35 to Western Ky in the Miami Beach Bowl. The Bulls averaged 33.6 PPG last season (up from 13.8 and 17.2 in Taggert's first two season) and as noted, is averaging almost 50 PPG to open 2016. The going will be much tougher against FSU but I expect the Bulls to hold their own. However, stopping FSU may be too much to expect. FSU head coach Jimbo Fisher is anxious to see how his Seminoles come back after suffering the worst loss in his seven-year stint with the 'Noles. Note that in the past five years, FSU is undefeated in games following a loss. The Seminoles last suffered back-to-back defeats in 2011 and their streak of 66 games without consecutive losses ranks second nationally only to Oregon (70). I say the Over is an 8* play.