Rogers' 10* Run Line PUNISHER >> SIZZLING 31-8 L39 MLB Sides!
(MLB) Boston vs. Baltimore,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -130.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Boston Red Sox have seemingly taken control of the AL East race, as last night's 5-1 win in Baltimore over the Orioles was the team's seventh in a row. Boston now holds a five-game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays and a six-game advantage over Baltimore, as the Red Sox look to complete a four-game sweep of their series with the Orioles. This series has ‘killed' any chance the Orioles had at winning the AL East crown and now the Orioles are just desperately trying to hold on to the AL's final wild card spot. However, with just 10 games remaining in the season, Baltimore is just one game up on the Tigers and Astros, with two other teams lurking, no more than 2 1/2 games back.

The pitching matchup: David Price (16-8, 3.91 ERA) takes the mound for Boston and Chris Tillman (16-6, 3.72 ERA) for Baltimore, each looking for a 17th win. Price had a very shaky first half of the season for the Red Sox but Boston has won his last eight starting assignments (Price is 7-0). He had his seven-start winning streak end against the New York Yankees on Saturday, when he was reached for five runs on nine hits in six innings, but Boston went on to win 6-5. However, note that Price had allowed two or less runs in each of his previous six starts. Price faced Baltimore twice in that span, winning both (1.93 ERA), while owning a 13-0 KW ratio in 14 total innings. Tillman has been Baltimore's ace and stopper all season long, except for his short stint on the disabled list. His 16 victories match a career high from 2013 and the Orioles need him to come through once more.

The pick: Price and Boston come in on a roll but I will back Tillman in this one. He's 10-3 with a 2.74 ERA over 19 career starts against Boston (team is 13-6) plus let's look at the two pitchers' moneyline mark here in 2016. The Orioles are 21-7 in Tillman's starts, giving him MLB's third-best moneyline mark at plus-$1418. In contrast, Price was a huge ‘money-burner' for most of the 2016 season and despite Boston winning his last eight starts, the Red Sox are still ‘under water' with him on the mound, going 19-13 or minus-$241. Taking Baltimore and the 1 1/2 runs is a 10* play.