The set-up: The Texas Rangers have won back-to-back one-run games over the Angels on Monday and Tuesday. That comes as no surprise, as the team's record in one-run contests this year is now an amazing 36-10! The Rangers are now an AL-best 90-62 and have all but clinched the AL West with a 9 1/2-game lead and just 10 games remaining. As for the Angels, 11 losses in their last 14 games leaves them 65-86, with the team possibly headed toward its worst record since the Angels went 70-92 back in 1999.

The pitching matchup: Jered Weaver (11-12, 5.17 ERA) will get the ball for the Angels and Derek Holland (7-8, 4.93 ERA) takes the mound for the Rangers, who go for the three-game sweep of the series. The veteran Weaver makes his 30th start of the season (Angels are 14-15 in all of his 2016 starts), including his 14th on the road (he owns a 5.68 ERA and 1.55 WHIP). However, he has enjoyed his most success against Texas, going 17-8 with a 3.38 ERA in 39 starts (Angels are 24-15). Those are Weaver's most wins against any opponent. This was Cole Hamels' normal turn in the rotation but he has been pushed back to Friday's series opener at Oakland, in an effort to get him on track to start the opener of the ALDS on October 6. Derek Holland goes instead and he's hardly pitched well since returning from a two-month absence due to a shoulder injury. Holland is 2-3 with a 4.23 ERA in five starts since August 23, including get lit up for nine ERs on 17 hits over just 9 2/3 innings of his last two.

The pick:. Holland is 10-7 with a 5.17 ERA in 26 career appearances (23 starts / teams are 13-10) against the Angels but Texas just keeps rolling along, while the Angels are in a free-fall and start a veteran whose best days are long gone. Texas is a 6* play.