There are not many teams with a worse record than the Cincinnati Reds this season, but the Atlanta Braves are one of the few and the Reds won the opener of a three-game set at Great American Ballpark 8-2 last night. I think we're getting a reasonable price on the Reds to take Game 2 as well.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Reds hand the ball to 23 year old rookie in Cody Reed (0-4, 8.39 ERA). The left-hander has a bloated ERA, but he's shown some potential with 29 strikeouts versus 10 walks in 24 2/3 big-league innings and he went 6-3 with a 3.20 ERA in 11 starts for Triple-A Louisville before being promoted in June. Atlanta has scored eight runs in four games since the All Star break, so this looks like a good spot for Reed to boost his confidence with a solid outing. The Braves counter with another 23 year old rookie in Tyrell Jenkins (0-1, 4.50 ERA) who'll make his sixth appearance (second start) in the big leagues. He's allowed as many walks (7) as strikeouts in 14 innings of work.

2. Road Woes - The Braves have averaged just 3.33 runs per game through their 43 road games this games season. Cincinnati is 21-26 home at Great American Ballpark but Atlanta is only 7-23 in its last 30 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

3. X-Factor - Cincinnati has won three of four since the All Star break.

Selection: This is a play on the Cincinnati Reds (10*)