The Tampa Bay Rays have just two wins in their past 17 games and have slumped all way to the bottom of the AL East by quite some margin. They've lost three straight to the Detroit Tigers here at the Trop, and I think the Tigers are entering Sunday's contest severely underrated by the bookmakers.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Rays hand the ball to Chris Archer (4-11, 4.76) who's been under-performing big time this season. The Rays' "ace" leads the majors in losses and he's 0-4 with a 4.85 ERA in his last four starts. He surrendered four runs on seven hits and four walks in 6 1/3 innings of an 8-2 home loss to the Red Sox his last start. The Tigers counter with Mike Pelfrey (2-7, 5.02 ERA) who won his last start despite conceding four runs in 5 1/3 innings against Miami. The Tigers bats have been hot lately and should give Pelfrey a lot of run support again Sunday afternoon.

2. Home Woes - The Rays are 17-24 straight up and 15-26 against the run-line home at the Trop this season. They're 2-8 SU in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

3. X-Factor - Tampa Bay has scored only four runs with nine hits in the last two games.

Selection: This is a play on the Detroit Tigers +1.5 (8*)