The Pirates took Game 1 of this series versus the Dodgers by a score of 8-6, and I like Pittsburgh as a home dog on the runline in Game 2 Saturday afternoon. The Dodgers have a losing record on the road, and I don't think they deserve to be a favorite in this spot.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Dodgers will send Japanese right-hander Kenta Maeda to the mound, and the 28 year old has been impressive in his first season in the majors. The Pirates will counter with Jeff Locke, who has won four straight at home. Locke tossed 6.2 scoreless innings in a home win over the Giants in his last outing.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Dodgers haven't been able to do much damage in previous meetings with Locke, batting a combined .213 against the southpaw. Chase Utley is 1-for-8 lifetime versus Locke.

3. X-Factor - The Dodgers have won just three of their last seven road games, and two of those three wins were in games decided by one run.

Selection: This is a play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (8*)