The defending AL East champs have turned it on in recent weeks. They've won six of their last seven overall, and three of those wins came against the Orioles. I like Toronto to take advantage of a mismatch on the mound here in Game 1 at Camden Yards.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Aaron Sanchez will be on the mound for the Jays, and his last start came against the Orioles. Toronto jumped out to an early 5-0 lead in that game, and Sanchez allowed just two runs through his first four innings. He ran into trouble in the fifth, and finished with seven strikeouts after allowing six runs on 10 hits over five innings. The 23 year old has been fantastic on the road, going 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA in seven starts.

2. Toronto's Bats - The Jays hit five home runs in Thursday's blowout win at Philadelphia. Edwin Encarnacion hit his 18th of the season, and he's hit six in his last six games. He's hit .295 with eight home runs and 21 RBIs at Camden Yards over the last three seasons.

3. X-Factor - The Orioles are 0-4 in Wright's last four starts versus the Blue Jays.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays (1st 5 innings).