The Indians have seen their lead at the top of the American League Central shrink to just one game ahead of the Royals after losing back-to-back games at Kansas City. They come into the series finale as favorites, and I like the Royals to complete the sweep.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Indians will send Corey Kluber to the mound, and he's coming off consecutive wins. Kluber (6-6, 3.65 ERA) went the distance, throwing a season high 114 pitches in a 6-2 win at LA in his last start. His previous high was 111 pitches in a complete game shutout win over Detroit. He followed that up by giving up five runs on five hits in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at Houston.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Eric Hosmer is 5th in the American League batting .317 on the season, and he's been reasonably successful against Kluber, hitting .262 with three home runs and a dozen RBIs in 41 career at bats.

3. X-Factor - The Royals still have the best bullpen in the major leagues, led by closer Wade Davis who boasts an ERA of 1.16.

Selection: This is a play on the Kansas City Royals +1.5 (8*)