The Oklahoma City Thunder failed to close out the Western Conference Finals series at Oakland on Thursday, but they get another chance tonight, this time home at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Warriors have struggled mightily in recent meetings at Oklahoma City and I think the Thunder will advance to the NBA Finals with a win tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Thunder defeated the Warriors by an average of 26 points per game in the first two games at Chesapeake Energy Arena in this series. The Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Oklahoma City. and the Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last four at home.

2. Rebounding - The Warriors outrebounded the Thunder for the first time in this series in Thursday's 120-111 victory. That will not happen again as the Thunder will play with much more intensity and urgency again tonight to avoid a Game 7 at Oracle Arena.

3. X-Factor - Thunder are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder (10*)