The Brewers won Game 1 of this home series versus Cincinnati by a score of 9-5. I expect to see another slugfest Saturday, as two struggling pitchers take the mound in Game 2. My money is on the over for the first five innings of play.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Reds send Alfredo Simon to the mound, and he looks like he might be in danger of losing his spot in the rotation. Simon (1-5, 10.16 ERA) was torched for five runs on nine hits and three walks in a loss to Seattle in his last start. Before that he gave up 10 runs on 14 hits in just 4.1 innings in a loss to Cleveland. The Brewers counter with Chase Anderson, who hasn't been that much better.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Jonathan Lucroy was 2-for-4 with a home run last night, and he's 7-for-12 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Simon.

3. X-Factor - The over is 8-3 in Simon's last 11 road starts.

Selection: This is a play on the Reds@Brewers 1st 5 innings OVER (8*)