10* play on OVER Mavericks/Thunder.

The Dallas Mavericks had to play their butts off to get into the playoffs, and they really did a great job on defense in the last few weeks. I expect the Mavs to experience a bit of a let down here in Game 1 in Oklahoma City, and the Thunder's high flying offense should prove to be far too much for the Mavs to handle. My money is on the total to go over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with the total going over in five of the last six meetings. Oklahoma City has won the last four meetings, scoring an average of 112.5 points in those games.

2. Too Much Westbrook - Russell Westbrook simply can not be stopped. He dominated the season series, averaging 23.7 points, 10.3 assists and 6.7 rebounds in the three (full) games he played against Dallas.

3. X-Factor - The over is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Selection: This is a play on the Mavs@Thunder to go OVER the total (10*)