1* free play on BAL@BOS to go OVER ....

The 5-0 Baltimore Orioles will be an underdog in Boston today, facing Red Sox ace David Price. The Orioles have gotten to Price in the past, and the way they are swinging the bats, I wouldn't be surprised to see Boston's ace struggle here at Fenway. My money is on the over.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - This will be the first time David Price starts at Fenway as a member of the Red Sox, but he pitched well at Boston last year with the Blue Jays. Price is normally a slow starter though, and is just 5-5 with a 4.70 ERA in April over the last three seasons.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Matt Weiters is hitting .341 with a home run and six doubles in 44 career at bats versus Price. The lineup as a whole is batting .280 over a combined 236 at bats versus Price.

3. X-Factor - The over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Selection: This is a pay on the Orioles@RedSox to go OVER the total (Free)