10* GAME OF MONTH North Carolina.

The Villanova Wildcats are coming off a pair of impressive wins over Kansas and Oklahoma, but I think it's going to be a different story when they meet the Tar Heels in the Final. The bookmakers have North Carolina listed as just a slight favorite, and I just don't think they are giving enough respect to the ACC champs. They were the best team in the best conference in college basketball this season. How good is the ACC? The conference produced four national champions over the last seven years, including North Carolina in 2009.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Villanova dominates against opponents in the Big East, but they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven versus the ACC. The Tar Heels are rolling, and they've averaged a whopping 88 points per game while covering the spread in four of five tournament games.

2. Scoring Depth - The Wildcats were successful in shutting down Buddy Heild in their win over Oklahoma (he scored nine points), and they held Perry Ellis to just four points on 1-of-5 shooting in their win over Kansas. The problem here is, even if they shut down North Carolina's leading scorer Brice Johnson, that leaves Kennedy Meeks, Marcus Paige and Joel Berry who are all capable of carrying the load.

3. X-Factor - The Tar Heels are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games.

Selection: This is a play on the North Carolina Tar Heels (10*)