The Buffalo Bills overcame injuries last week, winning on the road at Tennessee by a score of 14-13. They host the Cincinnati Bengals this Sunday, and Buffalo will be a home dog in this spot. I like the Bills getting points against this Bengals team that is perhaps a little overrated after a good start.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Let Down Spot - Cincinnati should have lost to the Seahawks last week, but they were able to pull off a miraculous comeback in the fourth quarter, and went on to kick the game winning field goal in overtime. This sets them up for a huge let down on the road against a team that they might not take so seriously.

2. The Real McCoy - The good news for the Bills is that LeSean McCoy will return from a hamstring injury to start on Sunday. He ran for 89 yards on just 15 carries in the loss to New England a few weeks ago, but has yet to get in the endzone. After seeing Seattle run wild last week, you might like his chances against this Cincinnati defense.

3. X-Factor - The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings versus Buffalo.

Selection: This is a play on the Buffalo Bills (8*)