The Green Bay Packers will host the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night, and you can expect to see plenty of points scored in this one. The Falcons own the league's worst pass defense, while the Packers have scored 50+ points in two of their last three home games.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Aaron Rodgers - He's thrown 32 TD passes this season, 20 of those coming at home at Lambeau Field. In four career starts versus Atlanta he's averaged over 300 yards with nine TDs and just one INT.

2. Home Cookin' - The over is 22-10 in Packers last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

3. X-Factor - Matt Ryan threw for 361 yards and a pair of TDs against very good Arizona defense last week, and that was his best performance since the season opener.

Selection: This is a play on ATL@GB to go OVER the total (8*)