The narrative that "nobody is giving PSU a chance" aligns with the betting trends where Oregon is seeing significant support from bettors. This lopsided public support often leads to an expected line movement favoring Oregon even more, from -4 to -5, if the public sentiment was the only factor at play. The narrative that "nobody is giving PSU a chance" aligns with the betting trends where Oregon is seeing significant support from bettors. This lopsided public support often leads to an expected line movement favoring Oregon even more, from -4 to -5, if the public sentiment was the only factor at play. The mention of a 60% success rate for the underdog (dog) in matchups between two top 5 teams since 2006, with a 16% return on investment (ROI), adds another layer to consider. This historical data supports the idea that underdogs in such high-stakes games can outperform expectations more often than not.