The Phillies are 18-11 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and 10-5 in Zack Wheeler's 15 home starts on the season. Wheeler (13-6, 3.56 ERA) has posted a 3.00 ERA in three starts against Miami this season.

The Marlins counter with left-hander Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.89 ERA) who has a 3.65 ERA in two starts against Philly in 2023. Luzardo's ERA is more than 1.5 runs higher on the road than at home though, and the Phillies are 16-6 as home favorites against left-handers on the season.

2* free pick on the Phillies.

Mike "Moneymaker" Lundin is on a 305-223 (58%), +$55,110 TOP PLAY RUN dating back to June 10, 2022!

Don't miss Mike's 4* Blue Jays/Twins MLB TOP PLAY of the Day