The Badgers boast the No. 1 defense in the country, but this is not a team that is built to blow the doors of their opponents. Sure, they won 52-3 at Rutgers last week, but you don't see that very often and if anything, the recency bias is making the betting market overvaluing Wisconsin this week.

The Badgers should have good success running the ball, but they could be without leading rusher Chez Mellusi, who suffered a left knee injury in the win over Rutgers. They average only 155.6 passing yards per game (121st) and Northwestern is giving up only 189.3 passing yards per game (18th).

8* play on Northwestern Wildcats.