Pittsburgh Mike Tomlin is a coach I'm happy to back as an underdog, but I just find it hard to trust him as a favorite, especially when asked to cover this kind of number.

Additionally, while Chicago's offense is awful (dead last for total offense and second to last in scoring offense with only 15.4 points per game) note that the Steelers are only marginally better with their 18.9 points per game.

Chicago's defense has been decent, especially against the pass, and Pittsburgh poses very little threat on the ground (3.7 yards per carry, 28th). Additionally, the Bears can actually move the ball on the ground, averaging 136.6 rushing yards per game (6th), and it's not all due to volume as they rank 10th with 4.6 yards per carry.

Lastly, Chicago coach Matt Nagy is expected to return to the sidelines following a one-game absence in the NFL's COVID-19 protocol, and reports suggest that running back David Montgomery could be activated off injured reserve. Montgomery (69 carries for 309 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.5 yards per carry) was off to a good start prior to suffering a knee injury in Week 4.

8* play on Chicago Bears.