I think we are getting good value with the underdog in this Thursday night matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Washington Nationals.

Arizona righty Merrill Kelly (0-2, 8.10 ERA) has admittedly struggled through his first two starts of the season, but here he'll face a Washington team that averages only 3.82 runs per game on the season and he has decent backup as Arizona's relievers rank 15th in the league with a 4.15 ERA.

The Nats relievers have a combined ERA of 5.22 (26th) and their starter for the day, left-hander Patrick Corbin (0-1, 12.46 ERA) was reached for six runs in 4 1/3 innings in his lone start of the year.

Arizona averages a solid 4.58 runs per game (12th) and I think the D'Backs will take this one.

8* play on Arizona Diamondbacks.