The Denver Nuggets are 14-5 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair when they host the Jazz Sunday afternoon.

Utah is the hottest team in the NBA, and a big reason for its 11 straight wins is its play on the defensive end. Additionally, the Jazz will be crippled offensively without Donovan Mitchell and Derrick Favors.

Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 road games. Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 overall. Under is 22-10 in the last 32 meetings. Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Denver.

In addition to the under, I also like Denver to win this game. Sure, the Jazz have been red hot, but now they hit the road for the first time in two weeks. The Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver and this is a revenge spot for the Nuggets after losing at Utah on January 17.

8* play on Denver