New Orleans is clearly the superior football team in this matchup, but this is just too many points to give up in a playoff game.

The Bears might look like they are stumbling into the playoffs after getting humiliated by Green Bay in the regular-season finale, but they had won three straight prior to that. Sure, they were beating up on mostly unmotivated teams (Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville), but so did the Saints as well as they closed out the reg season on a 2-0 run (against Minnesota and Carolina).

These two teams clashed back in November, a game the Saints won 26-23 in overtime. We can also note that Chicago had Nick Foles at quarterback in that one, and they've looked much better of late with Mitch Trubisky back under center.

Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite, and I see this being a one-score game.

I also think it will be low-scoring. Under is 7-2 in Bears last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 12-5 in Bears last 17 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

8* play on UNDER.