The Dallas Mavericks have won two of their last three games, but this looks like a potential flat spot after defeating in-state rival Houston Rockets on the road last time out. The Denver Nuggets are coming off a two-game sweep of Minnesota, but they failed to cover the spread in the last game. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss, and for this one, Michael Porter Jr. will be back in action after missing the last three games due to a seven-day Covid-19 quarantine.

Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight-up win. Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.

In addition to Denver winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. The Nuggets defenes has not been great, but this looks like a good spot to get back on track against a Dallas team that has averaged only 103 ppg through its last four games.

8* play on UNDER.