The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. I do like them to cover a very reasonable number here against a reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers side that has lost two of its last three straight up.

Bucs QB Tom Brady looked his age in a 27-24 loss the Rams Monday night, completing only 26-of-48 passes for 216 yards with two TDs and two INTs.

The Chiefs have scored 33 points or more in four straight games, and while their defense has not been at the very best lately, I don't think the Bucs are not in a good spot to take advantage.

Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs.