The Green Bay Packers won the first meeting of the season 10-3 at Chicago on September 5. I like the Bears to keep this one closer and maybe even pull an outright upset.

This game means a lot more for the Bears than the Packers who enter Sunday top of the NFC North while Chicago has won three straight and four of its last five to remain in the mix for a wild card spot.

The Bears offense has been much better in recent weeks, and here it'll face a Green Bay defense that is giving up a whopping 367.9 total yards per game. The Packers 10-3 record look quite impressive at first glance but note that they're outgained by an average of 27 yards per game.

Packers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North. Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.

Free pick on Chicago Bears.