The Atlanta Falcons have just four wins on the season, but three of those have come in their last five games. They put a 40-20 beating on Carolina last time out, and I think they'll keep it relatively close here against a San Francisco 49ers team in an emotional letdown spot following a dramatic win at New Orleans last time out. They did, however, lose star cornerback Richard Sherman to a hamstring strain, which won't' help an already dinged up defense. The Niners are just 4-9-1 ATS as favorites since the start of last season and this is only the second time they're asked to cover double-digits during that stretch. Last time they laid 10+ (against Arizona on Nov 17), they came up short of covering.

8* play on Atlanta Falcons.