We backed the Green Bay Packers against the spread as an underdog against the undefeated Rams last week, and as predicted they managed to keep it close losing by only two as a 7.5-point underdog. I think they're in for a much tougher game in Foxboro Sunday night.

The New England Patriots are riding a five-game winning streak during which they've scored 38 points or more on four occasions and and covered the spread in all but one. They put a 25-6 beating on the Bills at Buffalo last week to improve to 13-3 ATS last 16 vs. a team with a losing record and they're 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

Pats QB Tom Brady has shredded the Packers secondary with eight TD passes vs. zero interceptions in his past three when taking on Green Bay at Gillette Stadium and the Packers are 0-3 (1-2 ATS) on the road this season.

Aaron Rodgers has been money as an underdog throughout his career, but this is a bad time to face a Pats team firing on all cylinders.

8* play on New England Patriots.