#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
(NFL) Tampa Bay vs. Chicago,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -102.00 Chicago (Home)
Result: Win
The Chicago Bears look like a solid home favorite as they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday afternoon.

The Bucs will be playing on a short week after taking a 30-27 loss to Pittsburgh Monday night. They've been riding QB Ryan Fitzpatrick's "Fitzmagic" through the first three games to make up for an atrocious defense, but that can't last forever.

Fitzpatrick passed for 411 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Steelers, but he also threw three interceptions and was only 30-of-50 passing for a 60% completion rate. The veteran QB is a prime candidate for regression after playing out of his mind so far.

The Bears boast one of the best defenses in the NFL and have held opponents to an average of 289 yards of total offense. Chicago linebacker Khalil Mack has four sacks, an interception and three forced fumbles and the team is tied for second in the NFL with eight takeaways.

The Bucs on the other hand are second to last in total defense at 474 yards per game and tied for last with KC against the pass (362.7 ypg). Even Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky could have a big game against them. Also, let's not forget the Bears ground game as they've been putting up decent numbers, entering Week 4 12th in NFL with 115.7 rushing yards per game.

I expect the Bears' defense to smother the Bucs offense and Chicago QB Trubisky to have a breakout game.

Free pick on Chicago Bears.

Mike Lundin has picked 9-3 L12 TOP RATED NFL selections (prior to Thursday night's 10* premium pick on Vikings @ Rams) and he has TWO BIG NFL BETS going Sunday. Make sure you're on Mike's side of his NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (ATS) and NFL GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL) releases, both going Sunday.