The Vanderbilt Commodores (9-16) have dropped three of their last four games and took a 72-54 loss as a 6.5-point favorite at Arkansas on Saturday. Vanderbilt is just 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games following a ATS loss and 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The visiting Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-7) took Missouri to overtime before falling 89-85 as a 6-point dog their last time out. They will likely need to win five of their final six regular-season contests and perhaps an SEC tournament game in order to make it to the NCAA Tournament, and I expect full focus from the visitors in this matchup.

The Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and defeated Vanderbilt 80-62 at home on Jan 16.

My selection is a 10* play on Mississippi State Bulldogs.