The Chicago Bears are coming off back-to-back victories and scored two defensive touchdowns in last week's 17-3 win against the Panthers. It goes without saying that it's hard to beat (nevermind covering the spread against) a team that allows just 301.3 yards per game, and I think the New Orleans Saints are asked to cover way too many points here.

Sure, the red hot Saints have won four on the bounce and covered the spread in each game, but that's also the reason why we're seeing an inflated line for this contest.

Note that the Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record while the Saints are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

My NFL Game of the Week is on the Chicago Bears.