This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on North Carolina.

I think UNC can catch Notre Dame a bit complacent here and like it to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Irish come into this game at 5-0 SU. UNC is just 2-3 and will have to start winning some games in a hurry if it has any shot at becoming bowl eligible. Long time clients and followers know that I am primarily a situational handicapper, but that I also like to exploit lop-sided trends and numbers, expecting these anomolies to "naturally correct" themselves. Therefore, it's important to note that UNC is 0-5 ATS to open the year, while Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS. UNC's biggest issue has clearly been on the defensive side, but it catches a break here as the Fighting Irish are far from offensive juggernauts. UNC can put some points on the board, it will need to bring it's "A" game today though vs. the stingy home side's defensive unit. This also sets up as a classic "look ahead/letdown" spot for the Irish, who won't be able to help themselves in thinking about next week's matchup with top-ranked Florida State; this is definitely a crucial situational factor working on our side today as well. I think UNC does keep this one close, its dual-threat QB Marquise Williams will be a difference maker and while I won't call for an outright upset, I do clearly believe this is way too many points to be giving up; play on NORTH CAROLINA.

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