This is a 10* ATS BEATDOWN on the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Patriots offense is stagnant and I expect this team to falter on the road in this hostile environment; while the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can with the home side. The Pats defense has been uncharacteristically carrying the load so far this year, but it will now have to deal with the Chiefs starting RB Jamaal Charles. What's up with Tom Brady and company? The Pats offense has failed to go over 300 yards in two of three games. Not surprisingly then, Brady ranks 30th in the league with a 5.54 yards per attempt and his poor 82.9 passer rating is 23rd. And get this…Brady is just 1 of 13 attempts of 21 yards or longer downfield thus far. How can the Pats be 3 to 3.5 point favorites in this spot?! It can't be blamed entirely on the veteran though, his supporting cast is pretty weak, top receiver Julian Edelman leads the team in receptions, TE Rob Gronkowski has been a shell of his former self; also note that Brady's patchwork offensive line has been a seive thus far in giving up seven sacks. The run game has also failed Brady, it's averaging just 3.5 yards per carry, which ranks near the bottom of the NFL. As mentioned off the top, New England's offense has definitely picked up the slack, but I think will have its hands full here with a suddently confident and under the radar Chiefs team. QB Alex Smith was 19 for 25 for 186 yards and three TD's in a 34-15 win at Miami last week. Charles didn't even play, Knile Davis would go for 132 yards on a career high 32 carries. This game means a lot more to Kansas City as it has to play at San Francisco and then San Diego after this home contest. Note that New England is 7-10 ATS in its last 17 on the road, while KC is already 2-0 ATS as an underdog this year. The situation, the trends and the numbers all point to KANSAS CITY as the sharp wager in this contest.

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