PREMIUM
AAA's 10* NON-CONF. MEGA ATS BEATDOWN! +$80K ALL SPORTS RUN!
(NCAAF) Kent State vs. Virginia,
Point Spread: 28.00 | -105.00 Kent State (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 28.00 | -105.00 Kent State (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ATS BEATDOWN on Kent State.
Virginia may be off a loss to BYU, but the team has covered each week so far this season and suffice it to say, I believe that streak ends today. I think this sets up as a natural letdown sport for the home side as lowly Kent State comes to town for its final non-conference tilt. The ACC schedule is one littered with much stronger competition, I simply can't see the Cavaliers not looking ahead this week. When this line opened, I jumped on it at 21.5. It's since gone closer to 27. Regardless, I still really like this pick and think the Flashes can keep this one close enough to at the very least sneak in through the back door with the large spread they've been afforded here. MAC teams have a history of giving Virginia difficulty, you only have to go back to last year when it lost 48-27 to Ball State in Charlottesville as an example. Kent State will be looking to bounce back after two home losses and then an embarrasing 66-0 loss at Ohio State. Offensively the Golden Flashes haven't been spectacular, but certainly not horrible either, Colin Reardon has 553 yards and five TDs. Defensively the teams runs a 4-2-5, Cover 4 scheme which is led by athletic safety Nate Holley, who is top in the MAC with 13.7 tackles per game. Viriginia's offense has been pretty good, the rotation of QB's Greyson Lambert and Matt Johns has been pretty effective; defensively though the Cavs sure looked susceptible last week, they did not register a sack or create a turnover vs. BYU. I think this is a great spot for Kent State to come in under the radar, after the beat down by the Buckeyes, the team had last weekend off to focus and prepare: "Virginia is a very talented football team," said Coach Paul Haynes. "They've had a very tough schedule, playing 3 out of 4 ranked opponents and playing them well. So we'll have a huge challenge this week, but our guys have a great attitude, we went back to a good worth ethic and our guys are looking forward to an ACC opponent." Note that Kent State is in fact 10-5 ATS its last 15 on the road, while Virginia is just 2-7 ATS its last nine as a favorite and a sub-par 7-11 ATS its last 18 in front of the home town crowd. I feel that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to KENT STATE as the sharp wager in this one.
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Virginia may be off a loss to BYU, but the team has covered each week so far this season and suffice it to say, I believe that streak ends today. I think this sets up as a natural letdown sport for the home side as lowly Kent State comes to town for its final non-conference tilt. The ACC schedule is one littered with much stronger competition, I simply can't see the Cavaliers not looking ahead this week. When this line opened, I jumped on it at 21.5. It's since gone closer to 27. Regardless, I still really like this pick and think the Flashes can keep this one close enough to at the very least sneak in through the back door with the large spread they've been afforded here. MAC teams have a history of giving Virginia difficulty, you only have to go back to last year when it lost 48-27 to Ball State in Charlottesville as an example. Kent State will be looking to bounce back after two home losses and then an embarrasing 66-0 loss at Ohio State. Offensively the Golden Flashes haven't been spectacular, but certainly not horrible either, Colin Reardon has 553 yards and five TDs. Defensively the teams runs a 4-2-5, Cover 4 scheme which is led by athletic safety Nate Holley, who is top in the MAC with 13.7 tackles per game. Viriginia's offense has been pretty good, the rotation of QB's Greyson Lambert and Matt Johns has been pretty effective; defensively though the Cavs sure looked susceptible last week, they did not register a sack or create a turnover vs. BYU. I think this is a great spot for Kent State to come in under the radar, after the beat down by the Buckeyes, the team had last weekend off to focus and prepare: "Virginia is a very talented football team," said Coach Paul Haynes. "They've had a very tough schedule, playing 3 out of 4 ranked opponents and playing them well. So we'll have a huge challenge this week, but our guys have a great attitude, we went back to a good worth ethic and our guys are looking forward to an ACC opponent." Note that Kent State is in fact 10-5 ATS its last 15 on the road, while Virginia is just 2-7 ATS its last nine as a favorite and a sub-par 7-11 ATS its last 18 in front of the home town crowd. I feel that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to KENT STATE as the sharp wager in this one.
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