PREMIUM
AAA's 10* M.N.F. *SIGNATURE* "ART OF WAR!" 11-0 (100%) w/ 10* NFL!
(NFL) Chicago vs. NY Jets,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 NY Jets (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 NY Jets (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New York Jets.
From a situational stand point, this play is as solid as you could possibly ask for, for a number off different reasons/factors I feel that the home side offers tremendous value in this spot. Let's start off with the Bears: Chicago lost a heart breaker at home to the Bills in its opener, only to rally in the second half last Sunday night to beat the 49ers 28-20 as a 7.5 point underdog (I had Chicago in that one). The Bears would avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole and have to be feeling pretty good about that obviously. It's tough playing on the road in the NFL, and it's tough playing back to back contests away from friendly confines, not to mention two Nationally televised games in a row; I simply feel that it's asking too much for this team to once again gut out a victory in another hostile environment and it will be especially tough I think against what I feel is a vastly under-rated home side. The Jets come into this game at 1-1 as well, they'd hold on for a 19-14 win over Oakland in Week 1, before letting a lead slip away in a hard-fought 31-24 setback to the Packers last weekend. Taking a closer look at tonight's starting QB's, Jay Cutler of Chicago has a 61.6 completion percentage, 14 TDs and three INTs in a 6-1 run on Monday nights. Geno Smith of New York was great in his lone Monday Night start as well, passing for 199 yards and three TDs while also compiling a career best 147.7 passer rating in a 30-28 win over Atlanta on October 7th. There is a possibility that Smith will not have the services of WR Eric Decker who will be a game time decision. However, the injury bug is much worse on the other side of the field, the Bears were unsure if top receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery would even play last week (both did, both are still ailing this week). But defensively is where Chicago really got pummeled, it was already playing without center Roberto Garza and LG Matt Slauson before also losing CB Charles Tillman, safety Chris Conte and tackle Jeremiah Ratliff in last week's win; if any play tonight, don't expect to see much production. Another weak point for Chicago was the run game, Matt Forte finished with 21 yards on 12 attempts, which is bad news as New York is giving up a league-low 52.5 yards and 2.8 per attempt. When Cutler is forced to pass and unable to rely on a run game to keep defenses honest is when he's at his worst, I'm predicting a long night for the oft-maligned pivot who has a reputation of looking brilliant one week and absurdly horrible the next. Chicago looked pretty good on defense last week and it will once again have its hands full with a Jets run unit which ranks first in the NFL in averaging 179 YPG; one player you'll want to keep your eyes on is RB Chris Ivory who has rushed for 145 yards and two major scores on a 6.3 per attempt average (note that the Bears are giving up a poor 5.4 YPC). Note that Chicago is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog, while the Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a home favorite of 3 points or less. There are a plethora of factors working against the visitors, all signs point to NEW YORK as the sharp wager in this one.
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From a situational stand point, this play is as solid as you could possibly ask for, for a number off different reasons/factors I feel that the home side offers tremendous value in this spot. Let's start off with the Bears: Chicago lost a heart breaker at home to the Bills in its opener, only to rally in the second half last Sunday night to beat the 49ers 28-20 as a 7.5 point underdog (I had Chicago in that one). The Bears would avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole and have to be feeling pretty good about that obviously. It's tough playing on the road in the NFL, and it's tough playing back to back contests away from friendly confines, not to mention two Nationally televised games in a row; I simply feel that it's asking too much for this team to once again gut out a victory in another hostile environment and it will be especially tough I think against what I feel is a vastly under-rated home side. The Jets come into this game at 1-1 as well, they'd hold on for a 19-14 win over Oakland in Week 1, before letting a lead slip away in a hard-fought 31-24 setback to the Packers last weekend. Taking a closer look at tonight's starting QB's, Jay Cutler of Chicago has a 61.6 completion percentage, 14 TDs and three INTs in a 6-1 run on Monday nights. Geno Smith of New York was great in his lone Monday Night start as well, passing for 199 yards and three TDs while also compiling a career best 147.7 passer rating in a 30-28 win over Atlanta on October 7th. There is a possibility that Smith will not have the services of WR Eric Decker who will be a game time decision. However, the injury bug is much worse on the other side of the field, the Bears were unsure if top receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery would even play last week (both did, both are still ailing this week). But defensively is where Chicago really got pummeled, it was already playing without center Roberto Garza and LG Matt Slauson before also losing CB Charles Tillman, safety Chris Conte and tackle Jeremiah Ratliff in last week's win; if any play tonight, don't expect to see much production. Another weak point for Chicago was the run game, Matt Forte finished with 21 yards on 12 attempts, which is bad news as New York is giving up a league-low 52.5 yards and 2.8 per attempt. When Cutler is forced to pass and unable to rely on a run game to keep defenses honest is when he's at his worst, I'm predicting a long night for the oft-maligned pivot who has a reputation of looking brilliant one week and absurdly horrible the next. Chicago looked pretty good on defense last week and it will once again have its hands full with a Jets run unit which ranks first in the NFL in averaging 179 YPG; one player you'll want to keep your eyes on is RB Chris Ivory who has rushed for 145 yards and two major scores on a 6.3 per attempt average (note that the Bears are giving up a poor 5.4 YPC). Note that Chicago is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog, while the Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven as a home favorite of 3 points or less. There are a plethora of factors working against the visitors, all signs point to NEW YORK as the sharp wager in this one.
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