PREMIUM
AAA's FRI NIGHT AAC ATS SUPER-BLOWOUT! 134-88 +$41,507 L222 NCAAF
(NCAAF) Connecticut vs. South Florida,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -107.00 Connecticut (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.50 | -107.00 Connecticut (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Connecticut.
I played this game the moment the line was released and got 3.5; it's since dropped to 2 as of writing. The total would open at 48 and has since dropped to 44, as inclement weather is expected. While I do believe the outright win isn't out of the question obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. This is an important game for each of these cellar dwellers, as it represents the opening of AAC play for both schools. This is a revenge game for the Huskies after USF won 13-10 in East Hartford last year as a 4-point underdog (this is in fact "double revenge" as the Bulls would get the better of UConn in 2012 as well, 13-6 as 6.5 point favs). Both teams are just 1-2 SU this year. The visitors come in with home losses to BYU (35-10) and Boise State (38-21), along with a 19-16 home win over Stony Brook. Not surprisingly, the Huskies are 0-3 ATS this year. But UConn did not look horrible against the Broncos, it was a 14.5 point underdog and definitely looked much improved from the setback to BYU. USF is just 1-2 ATS, it beat Western Carolina 36-31, before back to back loss to Maryland (24-17) and North Carolina State (49-17). Note that the Bulls got destroyed by NC State, they were just 2.5 point underdogs in that one but got blown out by 32. UConn averages 289 totals yards per game and is giving up 368. USF is averaging 300 total yards per game and allowing 453. Huskies' QB Chandler Whitmer has thrown for 464 yards and three TD's and I think is primed for a big game vs. the Bulls suspect secondary. UConn will also look to take advantage of a defensive unit which allows over 170 rushing yards per contest. USF has utilized three different QB's so far and they've all pretty much stunk, Mike White has thrown for 275 yards with a TD and an INT; Stephen Bench has 172 yards and an INT, while Quinton Flowers has thrown 2 INTs in just 7 attempts. There's no question that this is a sound play from a statistical standpoint, the Huskies are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in AAC games and 8-2-1 SU vs. teams with losing home records. Also note that the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in this series recently and the underdog is 4-0-1 SU on those contests. The Bulls on the other hand are a brutal 1-10-1 SU vs. teams with losing road records. I think the conditions are right for the visitors to steal one this year, when taking into account all of the above factors, all signs point to CONNECTICUT as the sharp wager in this contest.
AAA Sports
I played this game the moment the line was released and got 3.5; it's since dropped to 2 as of writing. The total would open at 48 and has since dropped to 44, as inclement weather is expected. While I do believe the outright win isn't out of the question obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. This is an important game for each of these cellar dwellers, as it represents the opening of AAC play for both schools. This is a revenge game for the Huskies after USF won 13-10 in East Hartford last year as a 4-point underdog (this is in fact "double revenge" as the Bulls would get the better of UConn in 2012 as well, 13-6 as 6.5 point favs). Both teams are just 1-2 SU this year. The visitors come in with home losses to BYU (35-10) and Boise State (38-21), along with a 19-16 home win over Stony Brook. Not surprisingly, the Huskies are 0-3 ATS this year. But UConn did not look horrible against the Broncos, it was a 14.5 point underdog and definitely looked much improved from the setback to BYU. USF is just 1-2 ATS, it beat Western Carolina 36-31, before back to back loss to Maryland (24-17) and North Carolina State (49-17). Note that the Bulls got destroyed by NC State, they were just 2.5 point underdogs in that one but got blown out by 32. UConn averages 289 totals yards per game and is giving up 368. USF is averaging 300 total yards per game and allowing 453. Huskies' QB Chandler Whitmer has thrown for 464 yards and three TD's and I think is primed for a big game vs. the Bulls suspect secondary. UConn will also look to take advantage of a defensive unit which allows over 170 rushing yards per contest. USF has utilized three different QB's so far and they've all pretty much stunk, Mike White has thrown for 275 yards with a TD and an INT; Stephen Bench has 172 yards and an INT, while Quinton Flowers has thrown 2 INTs in just 7 attempts. There's no question that this is a sound play from a statistical standpoint, the Huskies are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in AAC games and 8-2-1 SU vs. teams with losing home records. Also note that the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in this series recently and the underdog is 4-0-1 SU on those contests. The Bulls on the other hand are a brutal 1-10-1 SU vs. teams with losing road records. I think the conditions are right for the visitors to steal one this year, when taking into account all of the above factors, all signs point to CONNECTICUT as the sharp wager in this contest.
AAA Sports
