We like the Tampa Bay Lightning @ Utah Hockey Club to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 5:07pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay is playing really well defensively right now -- allowed just four goals in L3 games.

The Lightning have seen the total stay UNDER in nine of their L13 games this season.

The UNDER is also 16-9-4 for Tampa in its 29 games played against opponents from the Western Conference.

Utah has seen the total stay UNDER in 57% of its games this season.

The Hockey Club don't score much and we don't think they will today either.

We're on the UNDER.

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