8* Padres (PITCHING MISMATCH)

We like Blake Snell and the home side to dig deep here in the opener of this interleague series. San Diego looks to snap a string of poor play which has seen it go just 3-7 in its last ten. That includes two straight one-run losses to the lowly Royals here most recently. Note though that SD is 7-2 in its last nine off a home loss as a -200 favorite or greater. After losing six of its previous seven, the Red Sox come to town off a 2-1 series win at Seattle. James Paxton is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA for the Red Sox, while Blake Snell is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA for the Friars. This is just Paxton's second start since TJ surgery and we think he'll struggle here. Despite the Padres being just 1-7 in Snell's stars, he has a very respectable 3.54 ERA over his past five starts and he's 7-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 career outings vs. Boston. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but we like Snell here in this matchup; the play is San Diego!

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