10* Pels/Nuggets OVER (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

I think this one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a higher-scoring "over." Both teams have played to several "unders" of late, but that fact has only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Denver has won four in a row, but it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. That's significant for us to take note here though, as the Nuggets have in fact still seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When they played New Orleans here back in late January, the Nugs pulled away for the 122-113 victory, and the total sailed well over the posted number of 227.5 in that one. I am expecting a similar final combind score here as well. The Pelicans are in a fight for positioning in the log-jammed Western Confernce cellar, and I expect them to match pace with the home side here throughout; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!"

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