10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM)

For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch!

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