9* Dolphins (DESTROYER)

The Dolphins lost five of six down the stretch, but they won in the final week to punch their ticket to the pst season in a gutty 11-5 victory over the Jets. Tua is out, and Skylar Thompson is in. He was 20 of 31 for 152 yards in the victory. Miami's defense bends, but usually doesn't break, allowing 23.5 PPG. I really like the Bills. I think they'd win this game even with Tua in. In the Dolphins' Week 3 win over Buffalo, Tua wasn't brilliant or anything though, going 13 of 18 for 186 yards. Josh Allen had two scores for 400 yards in that one. And then in Week 15 Allen got his revenge at home in the 32-29 victory. Buffalo is 2-4 ATS this year as a double-digit favorite though and while I do think the Bills will win this game, I just think this spread is a little too large; grab the points, the play is Miami!

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