10* Mavs/Pels UNDER (SOUTHWEST DIVISION TOY)

Both of these teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to start going the other way in this early divisional matchup. Dallas is 1-1 and is favored in this one. It's coming off an impressive 137-96 win over the Grizzlies. I expect the Mavs to keep up the aggressive defensive pressure here vs. the Pels. New Orleans is 2-1 and coming off a tiring 122-121 OT loss here at home to the Jazz a 8.5 point favorites. That total went "over" the number, because the game went to OT. The Pelicans have seen the total go "over" the number in all three games they've played in this season, which is significant to note here in our case as New Orleans has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. A great situational play early in the season, the play here is indeed on the "under!"

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