This is a 10* on UNDER

San Diego’s penchant for “playing down” to their level of competition reared its ugly head again last night as they fell 3-2 to Arizona. The Diamondbacks have won a league-low 37 times in 2021. But six of those wins have been at the Padres’ expense. That’s a really high percentage considering the Padres still have to be considered a top 10 team and figure to make the Wild Card Game. San Diego probably likes its chances tonight with Joe Musgrove starting. Musgrove’s last four starts have spanned 25 innings and he’s given up four runs. But what’s pretty shocking is how the Padres are just 12-10 in Musgrove starts. Ten times they’ve gone out and scored three runs or less in games he has started. So our call here is for the Under to hit. Arizona is simply not much of a threat to score many runs in this game. The wildcard is Tyler Gilbert, making his big league debut as a starter. San Diego has only scored five runs in the last three games. So look for Gilbert to surprise in this spot. Play on UNDER

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